Will “Ballroom” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ballroom” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (45%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=11counts: the host
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=ballroom

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Ballroom

Probability
38% · n=11
Settled
5/11 (45%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 6, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026BallroomKalshiYes
Jun 15, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
Jun 8, 2026BallroomKalshiYes
Jun 1, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
May 25, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
May 18, 2026BallroomKalshiNo
May 11, 2026BallroomKalshiYes
May 4, 2026BallroomKalshiYes
Apr 27, 2026BallroomKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Ballroom” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Ballroom” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (45%), most recently on Jun 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Ballroom” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Ballroom’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/ballroom (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=ballroom · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP