Will “Russia / Russian” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 2 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (18%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

36%from settlement history only · n=11counts: the host
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Russia / Russian

Probability
36% · n=11
Settled
2/11 (18%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 3, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
Jul 20, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
May 25, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
May 18, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
May 11, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
May 4, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
Apr 27, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiNo
Mar 9, 2026Russia / RussianKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Russia / Russian” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 2 of 11 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (18%), most recently on Jul 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Russia / Russian” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
36%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP