The Rachel Maddow Show: Episode, Jun 8, 2026
Kalshi What will Rachel Maddow say during her show?
Markets
17 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: the host Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prison / Camp | Yes | 45%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | Yes | 43%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | 42%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | 37%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Pratt | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| UFC | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional | No | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China / Chinese | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Epstein | No | 27%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Redistrict / Redistricted / Redistricting | No | 25%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordability / Affordable | No | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 23%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Russia / Russian | No | 22%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 19%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 19%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXMADDOWMENTION-26JUN08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP