Will “ICE / DHS” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history only · n=5counts: the host
Last 10
5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

ICE / DHS

Probability
41% · n=5
Settled
5/5 (100%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 15, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiYes
Mar 23, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiYes
Mar 16, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiYes
Mar 9, 2026ICE / DHSKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “ICE / DHS” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 5 of 5 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 9, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
What is the probability “ICE / DHS” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘ICE / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/dhs-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=dhs%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP