Will “Election” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Election” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 12 of 16 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 25, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

46%from settlement history only · n=16counts: the host
Last 10
8/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=election

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Election

Probability
46% · n=16
Settled
12/16 (75%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 16 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 3, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jul 13, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jul 6, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jun 22, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Jun 15, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
May 25, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
May 18, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
May 11, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Apr 13, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Apr 6, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Mar 30, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Mar 23, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Mar 16, 2026ElectionKalshiYes
Feb 17, 2026ElectionKalshiNo
Nov 25, 2025ElectionKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Election” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Election” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 12 of 16 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 25, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
What is the probability “Election” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
46%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP