Will “Lincoln” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Lincoln” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=3counts: the host
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
the host
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Lincoln

Probability
38% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
May 11, 2026LincolnKalshiYes
May 4, 2026LincolnKalshiNo
Apr 27, 2026LincolnKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Lincoln” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Lincoln” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 27, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 11, 2026.
What is the probability “Lincoln” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Lincoln’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/lincoln (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=lincoln · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP