Will “Prison / Jail” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Prison / Jail” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 4 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 40% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- the host
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
The Rachel Maddow Show
Prison / Jail
- Probability
- 40% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
Next listing counts: the host
We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2026 | Prison / Jail |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 13, 2026 | Prison / Jail | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Prison / Jail | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Prison / Jail | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Prison / Jail” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Prison / Jail” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 4 of 4 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Apr 20, 2026.
- What is the probability “Prison / Jail” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
- 40%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: the host.
Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Prison / Jail’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/jail-or-prison (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=jail%20%2F%20prison · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP