Will “Israel / Israeli” be said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 15 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (7%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 33% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

33%from settlement history only · n=15counts: the host
Last 10
1/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no yes no no no no
Streak
not said the last 4 times
Counts
the host
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

The Rachel Maddow Show

Israel / Israeli

Probability
33% · n=15
Settled
1/15 (7%)

Next listing counts: the host

We don’t have transcripts for The Rachel Maddow Show yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Sam Altman say during CNBC: Squawk on the Street? · not listed

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled yes

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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What will Rachel Maddow say during her show? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 13, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jul 6, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jun 29, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jun 22, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jun 15, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Jun 1, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 25, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 18, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 11, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
May 4, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Apr 20, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Apr 13, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Apr 6, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo
Mar 30, 2026Israel / IsraeliKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Israel / Israeli” said on The Rachel Maddow Show?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Israel / Israeli” was said on The Rachel Maddow Show in 1 of 15 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 30, 2026 (7%), most recently on Jun 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Israel / Israeli” is said on The Rachel Maddow Show next time?
33%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: the host.

Cite parrot.markets, “The Rachel Maddow Show: ‘Israel / Israeli’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/the-rachel-maddow-show/words/israel-or-israeli (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=israel%20%2F%20israeli · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=the-rachel-maddow-show&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP