Will “Democrat” be said on Fox News next time?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Fox News in 19 of 29 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (66%), most recently on Aug 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=29, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 episodes we have transcripts for (Aug 22, 2026 – Oct 5, 2026), 1 names the market's speakers, and the word reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in it.
- Last 10
- 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes no no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Fox News (interviews)
Democrat
- Probability
- 48% · n=29
- Settled
- 19/29 (66%)
- Last 4 episodes
- said in 1 of 1 that name the speakers
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Counts: named speaker only
2 counted; 8 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Counts: named speaker only
1 counted; 14 by speakers the rule does not count.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Caption text not shown: counts and timings only; the captions are at the Internet Archive.
Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 29 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Democrat |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 30, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 19, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 13, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| May 12, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 11, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| May 3, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 20, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 8, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | No | – |
| Jan 28, 2026 | Democrat | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often is “Democrat” said on Fox News?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Democrat” was said on Fox News in 19 of 29 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 28, 2026 (66%), most recently on Aug 23, 2026.
- What is the probability “Democrat” is said on Fox News next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=29). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Fox News: ‘Democrat’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/fox-news-interviews/words/democrat (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=democrat · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=fox-news-interviews&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP