Fox News (interviews): Episode, May 19, 2026
Kalshi What will Ken Paxton say during Fox News: The Will Cain Show?
Markets
12 words · 4 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 45%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Border | Yes | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 3+ times | Yes | 37%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ID / Identification | No | 49%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 45%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Deport / Deportation | No | 43%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Big Tech | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | No | 29%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 28%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAY19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP