Fox News (interviews): Episode, Jun 13, 2026
Kalshi What will Doug Burgum say during Fox News: Saturday in America?
Markets
12 words · 5 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | Yes | 46%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Trump 5+ times | Yes | 44%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | Yes | 41%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | Yes | 37%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| DEI / Woke | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democrat | No | 54%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / DHS | No | 53%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Reflecting / Pool | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fraud | No | 33%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| 250 | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Election | No | 25%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| AI | No | 25%n=18 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26JUN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP