Fox News (interviews): Episode, May 11, 2026
Kalshi What will Ted Cruz say during Fox News: Hannity?
Markets
12 words · 1 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat | Yes | 50%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Israeli | No | 51%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 48%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Hormuz | No | 47%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Oil | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Election | No | 37%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico / Mexican | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Fraud | No | 34%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Cuba / Cuban | No | 32%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran / Iranian | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Redistricting / Gerrymandering | No | 30%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 21%n=11 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXFOXNEWSMENTION-26MAY11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP