Donald Trump: Monthly window, Aug 31, 2026

By Aug 31Monthly windowHistory onlyDonald Trump

Updated

Coverage

36 known appearances
25 of 36 known appearances transcribed Window: Aug 1, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump. Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.

Markets

18 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 7 of 7

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Washington D.C. Yes1112✓51%n=2 from settlement history–
Middle East Yes1112✓48%n=35 from settlement history–
Mexico Yes810✓46%n=18 from settlement history–
Mars Yes45✓42%n=11 from settlement history–
Gulf of America / Gulf of Mexico Yes22✓51%n=35 from settlement history–
Los Angeles Yes11✓51%n=4 from settlement history–
MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology Yes11✓50%n=5 from settlement history–
Jerusalem No–0–54%n=3 from settlement history–
National Mall No–0––n=1 too little history for a probability–
Gaza No–0–51%n=17 from settlement history–
Abbey Gate No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Lincoln Memorial No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Penn Station No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Smithsonian No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Tehran No–0––new new word, no probability yet–
Greenland No–0–49%n=53 from settlement history–
Harvard No–0–45%n=8 from settlement history–
Moscow No–0–42%n=14 from settlement history–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-places-will-trump-mention-in-august-20260728181450062 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP