# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · interview 2025-11-06 · 24 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV06 · as_of 2026-10-25T02:12:31Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-06 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25NOV06 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of interview on Special Report with Bret Baier, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China	china	52	43	0.83	YYYYYnYYYn	0.73	hist	yes
Biden	biden	90	70	0.78	nnYYYnnnnY	0.73	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	51	40	0.78	YYYYnnYYYn	0.67	hist	yes
Border	border	54	35	0.65	nnYYYnnnYY	0.61	hist	no
Trillion	trillion	9	6	0.67	YnYYYYYnn	0.56	hist	yes
Hottest	hottest	50	30	0.6	YYYYYnnnnY	0.52	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	13	9	0.69	YYnYnnYnYY	0.51	hist	no
Stock Market	stock market	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.51	hist	yes
Putin	putin	54	32	0.59	YYnnnnYYnn	0.49	hist	no
Communist / Communism	communism|communist	0	0			0.48	hist	yes
Investment	investment	19	8	0.42	nYnnnYYYnn	0.45	hist	yes
New York	new york	7	3	0.43	YnYnnYn	0.42	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	35	14	0.4	nYYnnnnnnn	0.42	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	4	2	0.5	YYnn	0.4	hist	yes
Schumer	schumer	13	5	0.38	YYnnnnYYnn	0.4	hist	no
Ballroom	ballroom	8	4	0.5	nYYYYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Trump	trump	11	4	0.36	YYnnYnnnnn	0.39	hist	no
Maduro	maduro	5	1	0.2	nYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	5	1	0.2	nnnnY	0.39	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	18	8	0.44	nYYnYnnnnY	0.37	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	18	3	0.17	nnnnnnnnnn	0.28	hist	no
ICE	ice	15	3	0.2	nnnnnnnnnn	0.26	hist	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	164	15	0.09	nnnnnnnYYY	0.23	hist	no
SNAP / Food Stamps	food stamp|snap	0	0			0.43	prior	no