# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-10-27 · 22 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT27 · as_of 2026-10-24T13:53:37Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-10-27 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-25OCT27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting and signing with the Prime Minister of Malaysia, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Biden	biden	80	66	0.82	YYYYnYYYYn	0.83	no
Tariff	tariff	45	37	0.82	YYYYYYYYYY	0.82	no
China	china	46	39	0.85	YYYnYYYYYY	0.77	yes
Election	election	18	14	0.78	YYnYYYnYYY	0.71	no
Middle East	middle east	7	5	0.71	nnYYYYY	0.71	no
Democrat	democrat	23	17	0.74	YYnYnYYnYY	0.66	no
Energy	energy	20	14	0.7	YYYnnYYnYY	0.63	no
Nuclear	nuclear	44	30	0.68	YYYnYnYYYn	0.63	no
Border	border	44	30	0.68	nYYnnYYnYY	0.62	no
Hottest	hottest	37	23	0.62	nnnYYYnYnY	0.62	no
Drug	drug	13	8	0.62	nYYYYnnYYn	0.57	no
Russia	russia	38	23	0.61	nnnYYYYYYn	0.56	no
Japan	japan	7	5	0.71	YYnnYYY	0.53	no
Farmer	farmer	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.49	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	28	14	0.5	nnnnnnYnYY	0.48	no
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	7	3	0.43	nYnnYYn	0.47	no
Putin	putin	47	30	0.64	YnnnnnYYYn	0.46	no
Investment	investment	12	5	0.42	YYYYnnnnYn	0.43	no
Oil	oil	23	8	0.35	nnnnnYYYYn	0.37	no
Water	water	12	4	0.33	nYnnYYnnnn	0.35	no
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	150	10	0.07	nnnnnnnYYn	0.2	no
Sanction	sanction	23	3	0.13	nnYnnnnnnn	0.14	no