Will Donald Trump say “Mineral”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mineral” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (36%), most recently on Oct 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 34% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

34%from settlement history only · n=11counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mineral

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Mineral

Probability
34% · n=11
Settled
4/11 (36%)
Last 8 remarks
said in 0 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Sep 24, 2026MineralPolymarketNo
Oct 29, 2025MineralPolymarketNo
Oct 17, 2025MineralPolymarketYes
Jun 27, 2025MineralKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2025MineralKalshiNo
May 21, 2025MineralKalshiNo
Apr 2, 2025MineralPolymarketYes
Mar 4, 2025MineralPolymarketYes
Mar 1, 2025MineralKalshiNo
Feb 28, 2025MineralPolymarketNo
Feb 27, 2025MineralPolymarketYes

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Mineral”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Mineral” at 4 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (36%), most recently on Oct 17, 2025.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Mineral” next time?
34%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Mineral’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/mineral (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=mineral · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP