Will Donald Trump say “Million” 15+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million” 15+ times at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2024 (33%), most recently on Feb 22, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 46% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (15+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Million 15+ times
- Probability
- 46% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 0 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions and millions. Thank you. And I just look at this group…
…American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It…
…more than 500 fraudulent websites, and coordinated with technology companies to disrupt millions and millions of online accounts used by foreign criminals. It sounds so…
…years ago, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. And
…the same 1 percent. So, if somebody turns somebody in for $1 million, but $1 million is very small potatoes, you get a 1 percent…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Million 15+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Million 15+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Million 15+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Million 15+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Million” 15+ times at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 28, 2024 (33%), most recently on Feb 22, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Million 15+ times” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Million 15+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/million-15plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=million%20%2815%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP