Will Donald Trump say “Pam / Bondi”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pam / Bondi” at 9 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (53%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pam / Bondi
- Probability
- 30% · n=17
- Settled
- 9/17 (53%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 17 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Pam / Bondi |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pam / Bondi |  Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | No | – |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Polymarket | No | – |
| Sep 8, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 26, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 13, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 4, 2025 | Pam / Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Pam/Bondi | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pam / Bondi”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pam / Bondi” at 9 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (53%), most recently on Mar 23, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pam / Bondi” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pam / Bondi’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/bondi-or-pam (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=bondi%20%2F%20pam · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP