Will Donald Trump say “Howard / Lutnick”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Howard / Lutnick” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (40%), most recently on Mar 3, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 39% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Howard / Lutnick
- Probability
- 39% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last 6 speeches
- said in 1 of 6
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…But right now, because of tariffs and smart people like Scott and Howard and we love Bobby. Wow. How about Bobby? I watched him. What…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Howard / Lutnick |  Polymarket | No |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Howard / Lutnick |  Kalshi | No |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Howard / Lutnick | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Howard / Lutnick | Kalshi | Yes |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Howard/Lutnick | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Howard / Lutnick”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Howard / Lutnick” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (40%), most recently on Mar 3, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Howard / Lutnick” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Howard / Lutnick’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/howard-or-lutnick (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=howard%20%2F%20lutnick · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP