Will Donald Trump say “Kennedy / RFK”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy / RFK” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (67%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 2/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Kennedy / RFK
- Probability
- 49% · n=3
- Settled
- 2/3 (67%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…with the help of Secretary of Health and Human Services, how much do we like this guy Robert F. Kennedy Jr. What a great guy.
…fail. Because -- I'll make this announcement today on behalf of Secretary Kennedy, Health and Human Services, that we are going to defer $1.2 billion…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kennedy / RFK |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kennedy / RFK |  Kalshi | Yes |
| May 12, 2025 | RFK / Kennedy | Polymarket | Yes |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Kennedy / RFK | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Kennedy / RFK”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Kennedy / RFK” at 2 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 27, 2025 (67%), most recently on Sep 18, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Kennedy / RFK” next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Kennedy / RFK’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/kennedy-or-rfk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=kennedy%20%2F%20rfk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP