Will Donald Trump say “Pay” 5+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Pay” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
Of the last 2 press conferences we have transcripts for (Jun 17, 2026 – Jul 8, 2026), it reached the market's count (5+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pay 5+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 2 press conferences
- said in 1 of 2
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…blacks for Trump. They called They are great. Everyone said, "Did you pay them?" I never gave them a dime. I don't know who they…
…He paid for it. He gave him billions and billion. You can't pay for this stuff. They got to respect you. Do you remember he…
…a bunch of fakers. They're terrible people. They're terrible. The people that pay them are sick and they want to destroy our country. In this…
…for your mom for free, I would think. But in California, they'll pay you a lot of money for it, and it's actually run by…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2025 | Pay 5+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pay 5+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Pay” 5+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 27, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pay 5+ times” next time?
- 46%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pay 5+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pay-5plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pay%20%285%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP