Will Scott Bessent say “Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 speeches have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Scott Bessent
Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime
- Probability
- 41% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…claimed at least one of the president's signature tax cuts: no tax on tips, no tax on overtime, the reduced taxes on Social Security benefits.…
…had at least one of the four president's signature policies, no tax on tips, no tax on overtime. The deductions for our great seniors and…
…this in the upcoming tax bill. The president campaigned on no tax on tips, no tax on social security, no tax on overtime, and the…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime |  Kalshi | No |
| May 29, 2026 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Kalshi | No |
| May 28, 2026 | Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/tax-on-overtime-or-tax-on-tip (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=tax%20on%20overtime%20%2F%20tax%20on%20tip · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP