Will Scott Bessent say “250”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “250” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceScott Bessent
250
- Probability
- 66% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 3 transcripts
- said in 2 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…so that a living person, Donald J Trump, could be on the $250 bill. So, it's all in the hands of the -- it's all…
…scenarios. Oil's going to 150. It's going to 200, it's going to $250. West Texas crude for the front month delivery is about $92 or…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shownQuestions
- How often does Scott Bessent say “250”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “250” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Scott Bessent says “250” next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘250’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/250 (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=250 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP