Will Scott Bessent say “250”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “250” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 3 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 press briefings; Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), since fewer than 2 hearings have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

66%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

250

Probability
66% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 3 transcripts
said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 press briefings); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 6:42In transcript

…so that a living person, Donald J Trump, could be on the $250 bill. So, it's all in the hands of the -- it's all…

Scott BessentspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt, Scott Bessent, and Kelly Loeffler Brief Members of the Media · Apr 15, 2026 · 38:49In transcript

…scenarios. Oil's going to 150. It's going to 200, it's going to $250. West Texas crude for the front month delivery is about $92 or…

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · not listed

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What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

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We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jun 4, 2026250KalshiYes
May 28, 2026250KalshiYes

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “250”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Scott Bessent said “250” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 4, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “250” next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘250’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/250 (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=250 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP