What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Election” next time?

61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Will Scott Bessent say “Election”?

Name: Scott Bessent: “Election” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Election” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.

Of the last 3 press briefings we have transcripts for (Apr 29, 2025 – May 28, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)

Last 10: 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
Streak: said last time
Counts: named speaker only

Updated Oct 25, 2026, 01:58 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Scott Bessent

Election

Probability: – · n=1 (too little history)
Settled: 1/1 (100%)
Last 3 press briefings: said in 2 of 3

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Scott BessentspeakerSecretary of the Treasury Scott Bessent Briefs Members of the Media, May 28, 2026 · May 28, 2026 · 29:55In transcript

…sanctions because they were worried about gasoline prices going up into an election. It would be unstatesmanlike sanctions that probably the worst national security adviser…

Scott BessentspeakerPress Secretary Karoline Leavitt and Scott Bessent Brief Members of the Media, Apr. 29, 2025 · Apr 29, 2025 · 15:39In transcript

…have the framework of a trade deal done before they go into elections, to show that they have successfully negotiated with the United States. So…

What will Scott Bessent say during Meet the Press? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during Special Report with Bret Baier? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during RNC Midterm Convention? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during his press conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during the Faith & Freedom Coalition's Conference? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during CNBC: Squawk Box? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during his Committee on Ways & Means hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during the Treasury Budget Hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during the Reagan National Economic Forum? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Scott Bessent say during the White House Press Briefing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

We don’t have this transcript yet.

Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
May 28, 2026	Election	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often does Scott Bessent say “Election”?: As of Oct 25, 2026, Scott Bessent said “Election” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on May 28, 2026.
What is the probability Scott Bessent says “Election” next time?: 61%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Scott Bessent: ‘Election’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/scott-bessent/words/election (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=scott-bessent&word=election · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=scott-bessent&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP