Will Donald Trump say “Pharmaceutical”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pharmaceutical” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 19, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 4/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Pharmaceutical
- Probability
- 41% · n=8
- Settled
- 4/8 (50%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…steel and other things. And we have them all. We have the pharmaceutical companies building $600 billion worth of plants. We're going to make our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 9 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Pharmaceutical |  Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Pharmaceutical/Pharmaceuticals |  Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | Yes |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 30, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
| May 30, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 13, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 8, 2025 | Pharmaceutical | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Pharmaceutical”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Pharmaceutical” at 4 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since May 8, 2025 (50%), most recently on Dec 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Pharmaceutical” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Pharmaceutical’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/pharmaceutical (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=pharmaceutical · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP