Sat, Oct 31, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

6 eventsData updated Oct 24, 2026, 00:02 UTC· Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

said / not said on each settled listing
no appearance
chance it is said next time

Sat, Oct 31

6 events

Donald TrumpThis month

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
DellK 50¢	Dell: said, 7 listings before the last	Dell: said, 6 listings before the last	Dell: said, 5 listings before the last	Dell: said, 4 listings before the last	Dell: said, 3 listings before the last	Dell: said, 2 listings before the last	Dell: said, 1 listing before the last	Dell: said, the last settled listing	74% from settlement history
GoogleK 50¢	Google: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Google: said, 3 listings before the last	Google: said, 2 listings before the last	Google: said, 1 listing before the last	Google: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
NvidiaK 50¢	Nvidia: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Nvidia: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Nvidia: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Nvidia: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Nvidia: said, 3 listings before the last	Nvidia: said, 2 listings before the last	Nvidia: said, 1 listing before the last	Nvidia: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
AmazonK 100¢	Amazon: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Amazon: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Amazon: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Amazon: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Amazon: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Amazon: said, 2 listings before the last	Amazon: said, 1 listing before the last	Amazon: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
Fox NewsK 50¢	Fox News: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Fox News: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Fox News: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Fox News: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Fox News: said, 3 listings before the last	Fox News: said, 2 listings before the last	Fox News: said, 1 listing before the last	Fox News: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
New York TimesK 50¢	New York Times: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	New York Times: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	New York Times: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	New York Times: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	New York Times: said, 3 listings before the last	New York Times: said, 2 listings before the last	New York Times: said, 1 listing before the last	New York Times: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history

Kalshi+44 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald TrumpThis month

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
CanadaK 50¢	Canada: said, 7 listings before the last	Canada: not said, 6 listings before the last	Canada: said, 5 listings before the last	Canada: not said, 4 listings before the last	Canada: said, 3 listings before the last	Canada: said, 2 listings before the last	Canada: said, 1 listing before the last	Canada: said, the last settled listing	70% from settlement history
PalestineK 50¢	Palestine: not said, 7 listings before the last	Palestine: said, 6 listings before the last	Palestine: not said, 5 listings before the last	Palestine: not said, 4 listings before the last	Palestine: not said, 3 listings before the last	Palestine: not said, 2 listings before the last	Palestine: not said, 1 listing before the last	Palestine: not said, the last settled listing	69% from settlement history
DenmarkK 50¢	Denmark: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Denmark: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Denmark: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Denmark: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Denmark: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Denmark: said, 2 listings before the last	Denmark: said, 1 listing before the last	Denmark: said, the last settled listing	67% from settlement history
JapanK 50¢	Japan: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Japan: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Japan: not said, 5 listings before the last	Japan: said, 4 listings before the last	Japan: said, 3 listings before the last	Japan: said, 2 listings before the last	Japan: said, 1 listing before the last	Japan: not said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history
QatarK 50¢	Qatar: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Qatar: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Qatar: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Qatar: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Qatar: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Qatar: said, 2 listings before the last	Qatar: said, 1 listing before the last	Qatar: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history
MexicoK 50¢	Mexico: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Mexico: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Mexico: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Mexico: said, 4 listings before the last	Mexico: said, 3 listings before the last	Mexico: said, 2 listings before the last	Mexico: not said, 1 listing before the last	Mexico: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history

Kalshi+36 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald TrumpOctober

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
PredictK 100¢	Predict: not said, 7 listings before the last	Predict: said, 6 listings before the last	Predict: said, 5 listings before the last	Predict: said, 4 listings before the last	Predict: said, 3 listings before the last	Predict: said, 2 listings before the last	Predict: said, 1 listing before the last	Predict: not said, the last settled listing	70% from settlement history
Barack Hussein ObamaK 50¢	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 7 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: not said, 6 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 5 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 4 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 3 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 2 listings before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, 1 listing before the last	Barack Hussein Obama: said, the last settled listing	69% from settlement history
Space ForceK 50¢	Space Force: not said, 7 listings before the last	Space Force: said, 6 listings before the last	Space Force: said, 5 listings before the last	Space Force: said, 4 listings before the last	Space Force: not said, 3 listings before the last	Space Force: not said, 2 listings before the last	Space Force: not said, 1 listing before the last	Space Force: not said, the last settled listing	68% from settlement history
DividendK 50¢	Dividend: said, 7 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 6 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 5 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 4 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 3 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 2 listings before the last	Dividend: said, 1 listing before the last	Dividend: said, the last settled listing	67% from settlement history
UFCK 50¢	UFC: said, 7 listings before the last	UFC: not said, 6 listings before the last	UFC: said, 5 listings before the last	UFC: said, 4 listings before the last	UFC: said, 3 listings before the last	UFC: said, 2 listings before the last	UFC: said, 1 listing before the last	UFC: said, the last settled listing	66% from settlement history
PelosiK 50¢	Pelosi: not said, 7 listings before the last	Pelosi: said, 6 listings before the last	Pelosi: not said, 5 listings before the last	Pelosi: said, 4 listings before the last	Pelosi: said, 3 listings before the last	Pelosi: said, 2 listings before the last	Pelosi: said, 1 listing before the last	Pelosi: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history

Kalshi+20 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald TrumpThis month

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
DellP 100¢	Dell: said, 7 listings before the last	Dell: said, 6 listings before the last	Dell: said, 5 listings before the last	Dell: said, 4 listings before the last	Dell: said, 3 listings before the last	Dell: said, 2 listings before the last	Dell: said, 1 listing before the last	Dell: said, the last settled listing	65% from settlement history
MercedesP 100¢	Mercedes: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Mercedes: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Mercedes: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Mercedes: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Mercedes: said, 3 listings before the last	Mercedes: said, 2 listings before the last	Mercedes: said, 1 listing before the last	Mercedes: said, the last settled listing	62% from settlement history
VisaP 44¢	Visa: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Visa: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Visa: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Visa: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Visa: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Visa: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Visa: said, 1 listing before the last	Visa: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history
GoogleP 78¢	Google: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Google: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Google: said, 1 listing before the last	Google: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
TikTokP 100¢	TikTok: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	TikTok: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	TikTok: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	TikTok: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	TikTok: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	TikTok: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	TikTok: said, 1 listing before the last	TikTok: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
IntelP 98¢	Intel: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Intel: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Intel: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Intel: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Intel: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Intel: not said, 2 listings before the last	Intel: said, 1 listing before the last	Intel: said, the last settled listing	58% from settlement history

Polymarket+14 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald TrumpThis month

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
EggP 97¢	Egg: said, 7 listings before the last	Egg: said, 6 listings before the last	Egg: said, 5 listings before the last	Egg: said, 4 listings before the last	Egg: said, 3 listings before the last	Egg: said, 2 listings before the last	Egg: not said, 1 listing before the last	Egg: said, the last settled listing	71% from settlement history
CookieP 100¢	Cookie: said, 7 listings before the last	Cookie: not said, 6 listings before the last	Cookie: said, 5 listings before the last	Cookie: not said, 4 listings before the last	Cookie: not said, 3 listings before the last	Cookie: said, 2 listings before the last	Cookie: not said, 1 listing before the last	Cookie: said, the last settled listing	52% from settlement history
HoneyP 100¢	Honey: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Honey: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Honey: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Honey: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Honey: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Honey: no appearance in 2 listings before the last	Honey: not said, 1 listing before the last	Honey: said, the last settled listing	– too little history for a probability
BeefP 100¢	Beef: said, 7 listings before the last	Beef: not said, 6 listings before the last	Beef: not said, 5 listings before the last	Beef: not said, 4 listings before the last	Beef: said, 3 listings before the last	Beef: not said, 2 listings before the last	Beef: said, 1 listing before the last	Beef: said, the last settled listing	48% from settlement history
Ice CreamP 88¢	Ice Cream: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Ice Cream: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Ice Cream: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Ice Cream: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Ice Cream: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Ice Cream: not said, 2 listings before the last	Ice Cream: not said, 1 listing before the last	Ice Cream: said, the last settled listing	46% from settlement history
CornP 97¢	Corn: said, 7 listings before the last	Corn: not said, 6 listings before the last	Corn: not said, 5 listings before the last	Corn: not said, 4 listings before the last	Corn: said, 3 listings before the last	Corn: said, 2 listings before the last	Corn: said, 1 listing before the last	Corn: not said, the last settled listing	46% from settlement history

Polymarket+7 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald TrumpOctober

By Sat, Oct 31

Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word	7 listings before the last	6 listings before the last	5 listings before the last	4 listings before the last	3 listings before the last	2 listings before the last	1 listing before the last	the last settled listing	Chance next time: probability
Who Are You WithP 100¢	Who Are You With: said, 7 listings before the last	Who Are You With: not said, 6 listings before the last	Who Are You With: not said, 5 listings before the last	Who Are You With: said, 4 listings before the last	Who Are You With: said, 3 listings before the last	Who Are You With: said, 2 listings before the last	Who Are You With: not said, 1 listing before the last	Who Are You With: said, the last settled listing	64% from settlement history
SlobP 99¢	Slob: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Slob: no appearance in 6 listings before the last	Slob: no appearance in 5 listings before the last	Slob: no appearance in 4 listings before the last	Slob: no appearance in 3 listings before the last	Slob: said, 2 listings before the last	Slob: said, 1 listing before the last	Slob: said, the last settled listing	64% from settlement history
American DreamP 100¢	American Dream: said, 7 listings before the last	American Dream: not said, 6 listings before the last	American Dream: said, 5 listings before the last	American Dream: not said, 4 listings before the last	American Dream: said, 3 listings before the last	American Dream: said, 2 listings before the last	American Dream: said, 1 listing before the last	American Dream: said, the last settled listing	64% from settlement history
Through the RoofP 100¢	Through the Roof: not said, 7 listings before the last	Through the Roof: said, 6 listings before the last	Through the Roof: not said, 5 listings before the last	Through the Roof: said, 4 listings before the last	Through the Roof: said, 3 listings before the last	Through the Roof: not said, 2 listings before the last	Through the Roof: said, 1 listing before the last	Through the Roof: said, the last settled listing	63% from settlement history
ShitP 96¢	Shit: no appearance in 7 listings before the last	Shit: said, 6 listings before the last	Shit: said, 5 listings before the last	Shit: not said, 4 listings before the last	Shit: said, 3 listings before the last	Shit: said, 2 listings before the last	Shit: said, 1 listing before the last	Shit: said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history
Trump Derangement SyndromeP 100¢	Trump Derangement Syndrome: said, 7 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: not said, 6 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: said, 5 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: said, 4 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: said, 3 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: said, 2 listings before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: not said, 1 listing before the last	Trump Derangement Syndrome: not said, the last settled listing	61% from settlement history

Polymarket+16 more words Last transcript · Oct 23, 2026