Sun, Nov 1, 2026

Mention markets on this date, across every hub.

3 eventsData updated · Source: Kalshi, Polymarket, transcripts

Listed words

K = Kalshi, P = Polymarket: mid prices, up to about 20 minutes old. Not advice.

Sun, Nov 1

3 events

Donald Trump · Posts this week (October 26 - November 1)

Donald TrumpPosts this week (October 26 - November 1)
By Sun, Nov 1
Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word7 listings before the last6 listings before the last5 listings before the last4 listings before the last3 listings before the last2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
ChinaP 50¢China: said, 7 listings before the lastChina: said, 6 listings before the lastChina: said, 5 listings before the lastChina: said, 4 listings before the lastChina: said, 3 listings before the lastChina: said, 2 listings before the lastChina: said, 1 listing before the lastChina: said, the last settled listing81% from settlement history
RussiaP 50¢Russia: said, 7 listings before the lastRussia: said, 6 listings before the lastRussia: said, 5 listings before the lastRussia: said, 4 listings before the lastRussia: not said, 3 listings before the lastRussia: said, 2 listings before the lastRussia: said, 1 listing before the lastRussia: said, the last settled listing72% from settlement history
GeniusP 70¢Genius: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastGenius: said, 1 listing before the lastGenius: said, the last settled listing58% from settlement history
ScamP 76¢Scam: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastScam: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastScam: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
IsraelP 50¢Israel: said, 7 listings before the lastIsrael: said, 6 listings before the lastIsrael: not said, 5 listings before the lastIsrael: said, 4 listings before the lastIsrael: said, 3 listings before the lastIsrael: said, 2 listings before the lastIsrael: not said, 1 listing before the lastIsrael: not said, the last settled listing51% from settlement history
CeasefireP 50¢Ceasefire: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastCeasefire: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
Polymarket+6 more wordsLast transcript · Oct 23, 2026

Donald Trump · This week (October 26 - November 1)

Donald TrumpThis week (October 26 - November 1)
By Sun, Nov 1
Donald Trump: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word7 listings before the last6 listings before the last5 listings before the last4 listings before the last3 listings before the last2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
GeniusP 74¢Genius: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastGenius: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastGenius: said, 1 listing before the lastGenius: said, the last settled listing62% from settlement history
AppleP 74¢Apple: said, 7 listings before the lastApple: said, 6 listings before the lastApple: said, 5 listings before the lastApple: said, 4 listings before the lastApple: said, 3 listings before the lastApple: not said, 2 listings before the lastApple: not said, 1 listing before the lastApple: said, the last settled listing59% from settlement history
CeasefireP 74¢Ceasefire: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastCeasefire: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastCeasefire: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
Trump OceanP 75¢Trump Ocean: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastTrump Ocean: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastTrump Ocean: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
PirateP 74¢Pirate: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastPirate: no appearance in 1 listing before the lastPirate: said, the last settled listing– too little history for a probability
MuscleP 28¢Muscle: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastMuscle: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastMuscle: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastMuscle: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastMuscle: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastMuscle: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastMuscle: not said, 1 listing before the lastMuscle: said, the last settled listing55% from settlement history
Polymarket+12 more wordsLast transcript · Oct 23, 2026

The Joe Rogan Experience · Episode

The Joe Rogan ExperienceEpisode
By Sun, Nov 1
The Joe Rogan Experience: times each word was said per appearance, oldest first, and the probability for the next one
Word7 listings before the last6 listings before the last5 listings before the last4 listings before the last3 listings before the last2 listings before the last1 listing before the lastthe last settled listingChance
next time: probability
Fuck10+P 80¢Fuck: said, 7 listings before the lastFuck: said, 6 listings before the lastFuck: said, 5 listings before the lastFuck: said, 4 listings before the lastFuck: said, 3 listings before the lastFuck: said, 2 listings before the lastFuck: said, 1 listing before the lastFuck: said, the last settled listing80% from settlement history
Right5+P 97¢Right: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastRight: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastRight: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastRight: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastRight: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastRight: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastRight: said, 1 listing before the lastRight: said, the last settled listing65% from settlement history
Shit5+P 80¢Shit: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastShit: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastShit: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastShit: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastShit: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastShit: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastShit: said, 1 listing before the lastShit: said, the last settled listing65% from settlement history
AlienP 56¢Alien: not said, 7 listings before the lastAlien: not said, 6 listings before the lastAlien: not said, 5 listings before the lastAlien: said, 4 listings before the lastAlien: said, 3 listings before the lastAlien: said, 2 listings before the lastAlien: not said, 1 listing before the lastAlien: said, the last settled listing54% from settlement history
ElonP 50¢Elon: said, 7 listings before the lastElon: not said, 6 listings before the lastElon: not said, 5 listings before the lastElon: said, 4 listings before the lastElon: said, 3 listings before the lastElon: said, 2 listings before the lastElon: not said, 1 listing before the lastElon: not said, the last settled listing49% from settlement history
ChimpP 42¢Chimp: no appearance in 7 listings before the lastChimp: no appearance in 6 listings before the lastChimp: no appearance in 5 listings before the lastChimp: no appearance in 4 listings before the lastChimp: no appearance in 3 listings before the lastChimp: no appearance in 2 listings before the lastChimp: said, 1 listing before the lastChimp: not said, the last settled listing48% from settlement history
Polymarket+4 more wordsLast transcript · Oct 18, 2026