Will Donald Trump say “Wall Street”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wall Street” at 6 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (35%), most recently on Jul 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 31% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), since fewer than 2 posts windows have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no no yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Wall Street
- Probability
- 31% · n=17
- Settled
- 6/17 (35%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…important. And this last week, you probably read it was in the Wall Street Journal. Not that that means anything. It's a terrible paper, but…
…so much oil around. And you know today was announced in the Wall Street Journal that our navies unbelieved the blockade more oil came out…
Every settled listing
newest first · 17 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Wall Street |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 31, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 24, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| May 10, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | – (settled no · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · not found in what we could read (the post archive does not cover the window)) |
| Feb 1, 2026 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Wall Street |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Wall Street | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Wall Street”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Wall Street” at 6 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 25, 2024 (35%), most recently on Jul 11, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Wall Street” next time?
- 31%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Wall Street’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/wall-street (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=wall%20street · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP