Donald Trump: Posts window, May 31, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump post this week? (May 31)
Coverage
0 known appearancesevery post in the window Window: May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026. Counts: post text (reposts excluded; image text counts). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
22 words · 14 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Service | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=82 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | – | 0 | 49%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | – | 0 | 45%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | – | 0 | 44%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Ted / Cruz | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| The Pope | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ballroom | Yes | – | 0 | 38%n=69 from settlement history | – |
| CIA / C.I.A | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Wall Street | Yes | – | 0 | 36%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fed / Federal Reserve | Yes | – | 0 | 35%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Sleepy Joe Biden | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Uranium | Yes | – | 0 | 22%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | Yes | – | 0 | 15%n=379 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | – | 0 | 53%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | – | 0 | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | – | 0 | 45%n=57 from settlement history | – |
| CBS | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spencer / Pratt | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Coast Guard | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuba | No | – | 0 | 36%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Baby | No | – | 0 | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-post-this-week-may-31 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP