Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Jun 21, 2026
In the week ending Jun 21, 2026, Donald Trump posted 9 of the 16 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana / White | Yes | 16 | 21 | ✓ | 44%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 14 | 14 | ✓ | 60%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | 47%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 47%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| UFC | Yes | 5 | 7 | ✓ | 31%n=34 from settlement history | – |
| China | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 48%n=161 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 39%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Football | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 33%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 63%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 33%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 20%n=394 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-21:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-21:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP