Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Jun 28, 2026
In the week ending Jun 28, 2026, Donald Trump posted 4 of the 16 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 15 of 16 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
16 words · 4 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 16- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crime | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 65%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 53%n=62 from settlement history | – |
| Dana / White | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UFC | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | 38%n=38 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 67%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=61 from settlement history | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=162 from settlement history | – |
| Pope | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 48%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Football | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 40%n=14 from settlement history | – |
| Mexico | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 31%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 28%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=7 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 27%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 18%n=408 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-28:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-28:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP