Donald Trump: Posts, week ending Jun 14, 2026
In the week ending Jun 14, 2026, Donald Trump posted 7 of the 23 words Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 22 of 23 settlements.
UpdatedMarkets
23 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 22 of 23- Polymarket: named speaker only
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dumocrat / Dumbocrat / Dumacrat | Yes | 8 | 8 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Crime | Yes | 6 | 6 | ✓ | 53%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Israel | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 39%n=58 from settlement history | – |
| Gold / Golden | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 57%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Barack Hussein Obama | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 60%n=90 from settlement history | – |
| Knicks | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 31%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| CBS | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✗ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 55%n=160 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 54%n=60 from settlement history | – |
| Ted / Cruz | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| The Pope | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sleepy Joe Biden | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| CIA / C.I.A. | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Wall Street | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| NATO | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 46%n=76 from settlement history | – |
| Soccer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Ballroom | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 44%n=75 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Scam | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 36%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Football | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 35%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Spencer / Pratt | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Cuba | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 32%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 21%n=390 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Posts
counts only; post text is not shownTruth Social posts by @realDonaldTrump, via CNN's public archive · The posts
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/donald-trump:2026-06-14:posts_window · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=donald-trump:2026-06-14:posts_window · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP