Donald Trump: Speech, Mar 28, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say at the Swearing-In of the U.S. Attorney for New Jersey?
Markets
15 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | 67%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Justice | Yes | 59%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Law and order | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Corrupt | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Exonerated | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Patriot | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trenton | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hoax | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Atlantic City | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Beautiful state | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fake | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Indictment | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Loyal / Loyalty | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rigged | No | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Lawfare | No | 33%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDJTCONF-25MAR28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP