Donald Trump: Remarks, Sep 8, 2025
Polymarket What will Trump say during Museum of the Bible event on September 8?
Markets
16 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | 71%n=49 from settlement history | – |
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Washington / DC | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Transgender | Yes | 46%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Beautiful 3+ times | Yes | 41%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hell | Yes | 40%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Anti-christian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gun / Shooter | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Radical Left | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| God 10+ times | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Catholic / Muslim | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| DEI / Woke | Yes | 30%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Border | No | 52%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Heaven | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Minnesota | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 6%n=115 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
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