Donald Trump: Remarks, Mar 26, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say at the Women's History month event?
Markets
21 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pam / Bondi | Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | Yes | 46%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Radical | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sports | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vote | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Women's rights | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Karoline / Leavitt | Yes | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Pocahontas | No | 48%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| Trans / Transgender | No | 46%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| DEI / Diversity, equity, and inclusion | No | 41%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala / Harris | No | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Extremism | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| In vitro fertilization | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Indelible | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Passport | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trailblazer | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Melania | No | 34%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Ivanka | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Title IX / Title 9 | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tulsi / Gabbard | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Woke | No | 28%n=7 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXDJTWOMENS-25MAR26 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP