Will JD Vance say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?

As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 8, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 16% (n=15, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 5 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 press briefings; Oct 1, 2025 – Sep 3, 2026), since fewer than 2 remarks have transcripts, it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.

16%from settlement history only · n=15counts: named speaker only
Last 10
0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

JD Vance

Crypto / Bitcoin

Probability
16% · n=15
Settled
0/15 (0%)
Last 5 transcripts
said in 0 of 5

Next listing counts: named speaker only

What will JD Vance say during his fraud press conference? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his CBS Town Hall? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Ohio? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his rally in Alaska? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during Fox News: Hannity? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will JD Vance say during his Midterm Rally in Texas? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 15 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 8, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Jun 17, 2026Crypto / BitcoinKalshiNo
May 28, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
May 19, 2026Crypto / BitcoinKalshiNo
Apr 29, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Mar 18, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Mar 13, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Feb 26, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Feb 17, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Jan 22, 2026Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Sep 24, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Aug 28, 2025Crypto / BitcoinPolymarketNo
Aug 13, 2025Bitcoin / CryptoPolymarketNo
Oct 30, 2024Crypto/BitcoinPolymarketNo
Oct 8, 2024Crypto/BitcoinPolymarketNo

Questions

How often does JD Vance say “Crypto / Bitcoin”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, JD Vance did not say “Crypto / Bitcoin” at any of the 15 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 8, 2024.
What is the probability JD Vance says “Crypto / Bitcoin” next time?
16%, from settlement history (n=15). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “JD Vance: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/jd-vance/words/bitcoin-or-crypto (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=jd-vance&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=jd-vance&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP