JD Vance: Remarks, Aug 13, 2025
Polymarket What will JD Vance say during remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?
Markets
14 words · 1 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| God 3+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Big Beautiful Bill | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ukraine / Russia 5+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump / President 20+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone / AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ass | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| B-2 | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Golden Dome / Iron Dome | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| King / Dear Friend | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Leadership | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel / Prize | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace Through Strength | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel / Gaza | No | 34%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bitcoin / Crypto | No | 31%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-jd-vance-say-during-remarks-to-us-troops-in-uk-on-august-13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP