Congressional hearings, Jul 1, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during hearing on America’s Space Weather Capabilities?
Markets
14 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Security | No | 79%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 75%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| China / Chinese | No | 71%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Astronaut | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blue Origin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Budget / Funding | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| GPS | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hurricane | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| ISS / International Space Station | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Pole / Polar | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Snow / Snowfall | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Space Force | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| SpaceX | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Data Center | No | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP