Will Donald Trump say “Rigged / Stolen”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rigged / Stolen” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.

54%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Rigged / Stolen

Probability
54% · n=2
Settled
2/2 (100%)
Last 8 transcripts
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Iowa · Oct 22, 2026 · 40:45In transcript

…the right to run again cuz they cheated. They cheated. They They rigged the election. They rigged that. We We did so good. No, we…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 6:45In transcript

…enforcement. So, we will work tirelessly to help recover what has been stolen and dismantle the criminal networks that prey on our people. And now…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 42:50In transcript

…think that will be amazing because the kind of money that's been stolen is trillions from this country by crooked politicians that made things and…

What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in North Carolina? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his announcement? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Kansas? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 29, 2026Rigged / StolenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Mar 15, 2026Rigged / StolenPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Rigged / Stolen”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Rigged / Stolen” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Mar 15, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Rigged / Stolen” next time?
54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Rigged / Stolen’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/rigged-or-stolen (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=rigged%20%2F%20stolen · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP