# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · window_week by 2026-03-29 (settled) · 32 words · P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29 · as_of 2026-10-26T01:26:54Z
# scope P named · n/y settled before 2026-03-29 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v P · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-this-week-march-29 (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 23, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
# coverage no known appearances yet (as of 2026-10-20T23:46:29Z) · agree blank = not graded; lower_bound 1 = cnt is a floor (a window not fully read), never a NO
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	cnt	cnt_all	res	lower_bound
Barack Hussein Obama	barack hussein obama	51	34	0.67	YYnYYYYYYn	1	0	0.75	hist	0	0	yes	1
Transgender	transgender	90	51	0.57	YnYYnYYYnn	1	1	0.66	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ass / Shit	ass|shit	9	6	0.67	YnnYYYYnY	1	0	0.64	hist	0	0	yes	1
Rigged / Stolen	rigged|stolen	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Make America Great Again	make america great again	5	2	0.4	nnnYY	1	1	0.6	hist	0	0	yes	1
Cookie	cookie	16	9	0.56	nYnnnnnYYn	1	0	0.57	hist	0	0	yes	1
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	3	2	0.67	nYY	1	1	0.55	hist	0	0	yes	1
Hottest	hottest	185	95	0.51	nnYnYnnnnY	1	1	0.53	hist	0	0	yes	1
Gay	gay	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.51	hist	0	0	yes	1
Egg	egg	25	10	0.4	YYnYYYnnnY	1	1	0.5	hist	0	0	yes	1
Tiger	tiger	2	1	0.5	Yn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Death Tax	death tax	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.48	hist	0	0	yes	1
Democrat Shutdown	democrat shutdown	9	4	0.44	YYYYnnnnn	1	1	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Epic Fury	epic fury	24	9	0.38	nnnnnYYnnY	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
UK / United Kingdom	uk|united kingdom	6	2	0.33	nYnnnY	1	1	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Boeing	boeing	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Dark cloud	dark cloud	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.45	hist	0	0	yes	1
Khamenei	khamenei	5	1	0.2	nnnYn	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Finish the Job	finish the job	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.41	hist	0	0	no	1
Regime Change	regime change	3	0	0	nnn	1	0	0.38	hist	0	0	yes	1
Six Seven	six seven	11	2	0.18	YYnnnnnnnn	1	0	0.36	hist	0	0	yes	1
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	324	31	0.1	nnnnnnnnnY	1	0	0.26	hist	0	0	yes	1
Peanut	peanut	14	1	0.07	nnnnYnnnnn	1	0	0.26	hist	0	0	yes	1
Ballistic Missile	ballistic missile	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Chuck Norris	chuck norris	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Eat our Lunch	eat our lunch	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Embargo	embargo	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Ethanol	ethanol	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Fun	fun	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Kaitlan Collins	kaitlan collin	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1
Like a Rock	like a rock	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	yes	1
Paid a big price / Paying a big price	paid a big price|paying a big price	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	0	0	no	1