Will Donald Trump say “UK / United Kingdom”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “UK / United Kingdom” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (38%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 4.
- Last 10
- 3/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no no yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
UK / United Kingdom
- Probability
- 38% · n=8
- Settled
- 3/8 (38%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…scam center operations. And just the other week, we partnered with our UK forces in England to have a disruption week to further work with…
…And I said that to Germany and I said it to the UK. I mean, you take a look at the UK. They have a…
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2026 | UK / United Kingdom |  Polymarket | No | – |
| Mar 29, 2026 | UK / United Kingdom | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Mar 17, 2026 | UK / United Kingdom | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Mar 11, 2026 | UK / United Kingdom | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 6, 2026 | UK / United Kingdom |  Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | U.K. / United Kingdom | Polymarket | No | – |
| May 8, 2025 | UK / United Kingdom | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Mar 13, 2025 | UK / United Kingdom | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “UK / United Kingdom”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “UK / United Kingdom” at 3 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Mar 13, 2025 (38%), most recently on Mar 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “UK / United Kingdom” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘UK / United Kingdom’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/uk-or-united-kingdom (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=uk%20%2F%20united%20kingdom · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP