Donald Trump: Monthly window, Sep 30, 2026
Kalshi What countries will Trump say in September?
Coverage
42 known appearances30 of 42 known appearances transcribed Window: Sep 1, 2026 to Oct 1, 2026. Counts: spoken + his own written posts. 561 own posts by @realDonaldTrump (49 reposts left out). Counts are lower bounds until every appearance is transcribed.
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks in Meeting With Travel Executives and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 2, 2026 Remarks During a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 3, 2026 Donald Trump: GB News interview transcript pending
- Sep 4, 2026 Remarks on Signing Executive Orders To Promote United States Ranching and an Exchange With Reporters Official transcript
- Sep 8, 2026 Remarks at the Tunnel to Towers Foundation's Steel Across America Event Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 9, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks on Signing the Hershel 'Woody' Williams National Medal of Honor Monument Location Act in Arlington, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 10, 2026 Remarks at the Republican National Committee Midterm Convention Closing in Dallas, Texas Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Donald Trump: Ingraham Angle transcript pending
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks on the 25th Anniversary of the September 11, 2001, Terrorist Attacks in Arlington, Virginia Official transcript
- Sep 11, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Micheál Martin of Ireland and an Exchange With Reporters in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Following a Visit With President Catherine Connolly of Ireland in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 12, 2026 Remarks to United States Embassy Personnel and Business Leaders in Dublin, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks at the 2026 Amgen Irish Open Trophy Ceremony in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Aboard Air Force One En Route to Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters During the Amgen Irish Open in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters at the Trump International Golf Links and Hotel Doonbeg in Doonbeg, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 13, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Prior to Departure From Shannon, Ireland Official transcript
- Sep 16, 2026 Remarks and an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival in Charlotte, North Carolina Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks During a Telerally for Virginia Republican Congressional Candidates Representatives Robert J. Wittman, Jennifer Kiggans, and John McGuire Official transcript
- Sep 17, 2026 Donald Trump: Tele-rally with Rob Wittman transcript pending
- Sep 17, 2026 Remarks at a Rose Garden Club Dinner Official transcript
- Sep 18, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement on healthcare transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Donald Trump: Ribbon Cutting Ceremony transcript pending
- Sep 21, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Mayor Zohran K. Mamdani of New York City and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Following a Meeting With Prime Minister Andy Burnham of the United Kingdom and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi of Japan and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks Prior to a Meeting With President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks During a Trilateral Signing Ceremony With Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen of Denmark and Prime Minister Jens-Frederik Nielsen of Greenland and an Exchange With Reporters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks to the United Nations General Assembly in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 22, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival at United Nations Headquarters in New York City Official transcript
- Sep 23, 2026 Remarks in an Exchange With Reporters Upon Arrival From Joint Base Andrews, Maryland Official transcript
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Evening remarks with Xi Jinping transcript pending
- Sep 24, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at Xi Jinping's state arrival transcript pending
- Sep 28, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 29, 2026 Donald Trump: Remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Announcement transcript pending
- Sep 30, 2026 Donald Trump: Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration transcript pending
Markets
39 words · 30 settled yes · our count agreed on 30 of 30- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada / Canadian | Yes | 75 | 88 | ✓ | 61%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ireland / Irish | Yes | 52 | 87 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mexico / Mexican | Yes | 20 | 31 | ✓ | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Denmark / Danish | Yes | 10 | 17 | ✓ | 55%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Germany / German | Yes | 6 | 8 | ✓ | 55%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Saudi Arabia / Saudi Arabian | Yes | 6 | 15 | ✓ | 55%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| United Kingdom / British | Yes | 5 | 8 | ✓ | 53%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Japan / Japanese | Yes | 5 | 6 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| France / French | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Brazil / Brazilian | Yes | 4 | 7 | ✓ | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Poland / Polish | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| South Korea / South Korean | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 56%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Norway / Norwegian | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 55%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Argentina / Argentinian | Yes | 3 | 5 | ✓ | 50%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Taiwan / Taiwanese | Yes | 3 | 4 | ✓ | 37%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Congo / Congolese | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 60%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Qatar / Qatari | Yes | 2 | 4 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Italy / Italian | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Australia / Australian | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Switzerland / Swiss | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✓ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afghanistan / Afghan | Yes | 2 | 3 | ✓ | 47%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Turkey / Turkish | Yes | 1 | 6 | ✓ | 61%n=16 from settlement history | – |
| India / Indian | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | 59%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Bahrain / Bahraini | Yes | 1 | 3 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UAE / United Arab Emirates | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Egypt / Egyptian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Panama / Panamanian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Kuwait / Kuwaiti | Yes | 1 | 5 | ✓ | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Colombia / Colombian | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 52%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Spain / Spanish | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 46%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| North Korea / North Korean | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Jamaica / Jamaican | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Paraguay / Paraguayan | No | – | 0 | – | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hungary / Hungarian | No | – | 0 | – | 56%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Somalia / Somali | No | – | 1 | – | 54%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Sudan / Sudanese | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| South Africa / South African | No | – | 1 | – | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Belgium / Belgian | No | – | 0 | – | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Iceland / Icelandic | No | – | 0 | – | 50%n=5 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPSAYCOUNTRY-26OCT01 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP