Will Donald Trump say “France / French”?
As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “France / French” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 24, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 25, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
France / French
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (4 rallies, 3 remarks, 1 speech); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…So guys like John Assa, if they look at what's happening in France and he votes to bring those same things that got France and…
…had to be very tough on foreign nations. Right? I call up France. I say you have to double and triple your drug price. I…
This can't happen to our country. Take a look at France. How are they doing? Not too good. But Ashley's going to be going to…
…thrilled when I said you're going to have to cut your your price. I I dealt with the president of France who right now has
…more growth than any country in the world is having right now. France has no growth; France is growing the other way, and that's because…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | France / French |  Kalshi | Yes | 53 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | France / French | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “France / French”?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, Donald Trump said “France / French” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “France / French” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘France / French’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/france-or-french (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=france%20%2F%20french · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP