Will Donald Trump say “Spain / Spanish”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Spain / Spanish” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Spain / Spanish
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…village, and everything along the Texas border with Mexico composed of 95% Spanish, Hispanic people, Hispanic." He said, "You want every s It's never." He…
…case of France and all of Europe, you saw what happened in Spain where they bum rushed Spain. They came in by the tens of…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Spain / Spanish |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Spain / Spanish | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Spain / Spanish”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Spain / Spanish” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Spain / Spanish” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Spain / Spanish’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/spain-or-spanish (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=spain%20%2F%20spanish · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP