Will Donald Trump say “South Korea / South Korean”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “South Korea / South Korean” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
South Korea / South Korean
- Probability
- 63% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…We don't want you as an example to go to China, Japan, South Korea, or perhaps you'd love to go to France. Join the revolution.…
…they're coming in from Mexico, they're coming in from Germany and Japan, South Korea. You know, they took our car. They've took 56% of our…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | South Korea / South Korean |  Kalshi | Yes | 3 |
| Sep 30, 2026 | South Korea / South Korean | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “South Korea / South Korean”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “South Korea / South Korean” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 30, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 6, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “South Korea / South Korean” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘South Korea / South Korean’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/south-korea-or-south-korean (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=south%20korea%20%2F%20south%20korean · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP