# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2025-12-30 · 22 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC30 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:30:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-30 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTIONB-25DEC30 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meeting with the Prime Minister of Israel on December 29th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Biden	biden	140	104	0.74	YYnYYYYnnY	0.65	yes
Trillion	trillion	47	33	0.7	YYYnYnYnnn	0.65	yes
Tariff	tariff	100	68	0.68	nYnYYYnYnn	0.63	yes
Democrat	democrat	59	38	0.64	nYYYYnnYnn	0.57	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	73	46	0.63	YYYYnnYYnY	0.56	yes
Hamas	hama	24	14	0.58	YnnYYYnYYY	0.55	yes
Hottest	hottest	107	58	0.54	nYYnnYYnnn	0.54	no
Eight War	eight war	26	16	0.62	nYnnYYYYnY	0.53	yes
China	china	93	61	0.66	nnnnnnYnYn	0.52	no
Middle East	middle east	25	13	0.52	YYnnnnYYYn	0.47	yes
Investment / Invested	invested|investment	10	5	0.5	YnYYnnnYYn	0.47	no
Trump	trump	33	16	0.48	nYYYYnYnnn	0.46	yes
Steve / Jared	jared|steve	1	1	1	Y	0.44	yes
Syria / Syrian	syria|syrian	0	0			0.44	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	24	11	0.46	YnnnYYYnnn	0.38	no
Ceasefire	ceasefire	26	6	0.23	nnnnnnnnYY	0.37	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0	n	0.33	no
Economy	economy	30	13	0.43	nnnnnnnYnn	0.31	no
Maduro	maduro	36	10	0.28	nYnnnYYYnn	0.18	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	6	0	0	nnnnnn	0.17	no
Drone	drone	26	2	0.08	Ynnnnnnnnn	0.15	yes
Crypto / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto	219	19	0.09	nnnnnnnnnn	0.06	no