Will Donald Trump say “Steve / Jared”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Steve / Jared” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 30, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Steve / Jared
- Probability
- 43% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…has ever done before. And thank you sir. Thank you very much, Steve. Appreciate it. Kash, please. Kash Patel: Thank you, Mr. President. And first…
Thank you. Great job you're doing appreciate it. Really great. Steve?
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025 | Steve / Jared |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Steve / Jared |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Steve / Jared”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Steve / Jared” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 13, 2025 (100%), most recently on Dec 30, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Steve / Jared” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Steve / Jared’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/jared-or-steve (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=jared%20%2F%20steve · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP