Will Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfing”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfing” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches; Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 24, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Golf / Golfing
- Probability
- 50% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (3 rallies, 3 remarks, 2 speeches); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…had it. I've had it. I can't do it anymore. What you've done here, I cannot do oceans, sir. I could do a golf barely.
…Barack Hussein Obama would fly to Hawaii to play a round of golf in a 747 spewing old one 35 years. We have a new…
President Trump, you own a lot of golf courses.
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | Golf / Golfing |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Golf / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 17, 2026 | Golf / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Golf / Golfing | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Golf / Golfing”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Golf / Golfing” at 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 17, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Golf / Golfing” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Golf / Golfing’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/golf-or-golfing (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=golf%20%2F%20golfing · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP