Will Donald Trump say “Recruiting / Recruitment”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Recruiting / Recruitment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 56% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 2. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Recruiting / Recruitment
- Probability
- 56% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 2 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Recruiting / Recruitment |  Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Recruitment / Recruiting |  Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Recruiting / Recruitment”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Recruiting / Recruitment” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 26, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Recruiting / Recruitment” next time?
- 56%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Recruiting / Recruitment’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/recruiting-or-recruitment (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=recruiting%20%2F%20recruitment · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP