Donald Trump: Press conference, Jun 25, 2025
Kalshi What will Trump say during Press Conference at the NATO summit originally scheduled for 9:00 AM ET in the World Forum, The Hague, Netherlands?
Markets
25 words · 0 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | No | 59%n=29 from settlement history | – |
| Nuclear | No | 57%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Ukraine | No | 52%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 51%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Russia | No | 48%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Peace | No | 44%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Patriot | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Iran | No | 37%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| War | No | 35%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dog | No | 34%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Article | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Bunker | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ever | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Obliterated | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Spending | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Strike | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Israel | No | 33%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Defense | No | 32%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Dogecoin | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Alliance | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Deterrence | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | No | 29%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Zelenskyy | No | 28%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Security | No | 25%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | No | 24%n=9 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXTRUMPMENTION-25JUN25 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP